Former Cabinet Secretary Moses Kuria recently conducted an online poll on the 2027 presidential contest, which drew over 37,000 votes and accumulated 687,100 views. The poll listed four candidates, including incumbent President William Ruto, ODM Secretary General Edwin Sifuna, former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiangi, and Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka. The significant public interest in the 2027 succession question is reflected in the large number of views and votes.
Edwin Sifuna emerged as the dominant choice among respondents, commanding 76.3% of the vote. Incumbent President William Ruto came in second with 14.3%, followed by Fred Matiangi at 4.8%, and Kalonzo Musyoka at 4.6%. The poll results surprised many political observers, who have been closely following the developments in the 2027 presidential race.
Moses Kuria framed the poll alongside a pointed political prediction, asserting that the 2027 race would mirror the dynamics of the 1997 general election. In the 1997 election, the opposition split its vote across multiple presidential candidates, enabling then-President Daniel arap Moi to retain the presidency with a relatively low vote share. Kuria believes that a similar scenario may play out in the 2027 election.
Kuria declared that a united opposition front ahead of 2027 is not a realistic prospect, arguing that each of the named figures would contest independently. He wrote that the 2027 Presidential race will be exactly like the 1997 election, with multiple candidates on the ballot. With 318 days left before the election, Kuria believes that nothing will change.
The former Gatundu South MP, who served as Cabinet Secretary for Public Service and Trade under Ruto's administration, has remained vocal on national political affairs since leaving office. Kuria's invocation of the 1997 election suggests that he believes history could repeat itself in favor of the incumbent.
With Kenya's 2027 general election less than a year away, political positioning across the country's major parties and coalitions continues to intensify. The poll results have sparked debate among political observers and Kenyans, who are eagerly awaiting the outcome of the 2027 presidential race.
It is essential to note that the opinion poll conducted by Moses Kuria is not scientific. Nevertheless, it provides insight into the current state of play in the 2027 presidential race and the popularity of the candidates. As the election approaches, it will be interesting to see how the dynamics of the race change.
Key points
- Edwin Sifuna leads the field with 76.3% of the vote in Moses Kuria's online poll.
- Moses Kuria believes that the 2027 presidential race will mirror the dynamics of the 1997 general election.
- Kuria predicts that a united opposition front ahead of 2027 is unlikely to materialize.
