The French intelligence website, Africa Intelligence, has revealed a new competition between the families of Abdul Hamid al-Dbeibah and Khalifa Haftar in southern Libya. According to the report, the Dbeibah government plans to form a joint force in the region to enhance its security and military presence. This move is seen as a significant step in the ongoing rivalry between Tripoli and Benghazi.
The southern region of Libya has become a focal point of competition between Tripoli and Benghazi, with each side seeking to consolidate its influence in the marginalized area. The region's strategic importance due to its geographical location and borders with neighboring countries has heightened the stakes. Recent developments suggest that Dbeibah's government is gaining ground, potentially allowing it to establish a stronger presence than Haftar's.
At the beginning of 2026, Haftar's forces suffered a series of setbacks, including a significant attack on their positions at the "Tammu" border crossing with Niger. The assault, led by Mohamed Wardoog, who is aligned with the Dbeibah government, resulted in the loss of control over this critical point. This weakening of Haftar's grip on the region has led to the emergence of local and tribal forces opposed to his rule.
The southern region, rich in oil and minerals, is witnessing the formation of new armed groups with tribal and local characteristics that reject the military dominance of Haftar's camp. These developments reflect a broader shift in the regional dynamics, with local forces increasingly asserting their presence. The Dbeibah government's plan to establish a joint force is part of this evolving landscape.
Meanwhile, Haftar's son, Saddam, is reportedly attempting to rally the tribes of Fezzan to counter Tripoli's plans and maintain his family's influence in the region. This move is seen as an effort to preserve the Haftar camp's dwindling power in the south. The competition between the two sides is expected to continue, with the outcome likely to shape the region's future.
The developments in southern Libya have significant implications for the country's overall stability and security. The region's strategic importance and the rivalries between different factions are likely to continue influencing the country's trajectory. The Dbeibah government's efforts to consolidate its presence in the region are part of a broader attempt to assert its authority.
As the situation in southern Libya continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how the various factions will navigate their rivalries and interests. The formation of a joint force by the Dbeibah government and the response from Haftar's camp will be critical in determining the region's future. The international community is closely watching these developments, given their potential impact on Libya's stability and security.
Key points
- The Dbeibah government plans to form a joint force in southern Libya to enhance its security and military presence.
- The southern region's strategic importance has heightened the stakes in the rivalry between Tripoli and Benghazi.
- Haftar's forces have suffered significant setbacks in the region, including the loss of control over the Tammu border crossing.
