The Kenya Meteorological Department has released its climate outlook for November 2026, indicating that most parts of the country will experience above-average rainfall. According to the forecast, several counties will receive rainfall exceeding their long-term averages. This is good news for farmers and residents in these areas, who have been affected by drought in recent years. The rainfall is expected to improve food security and water availability in the country.
The counties expected to receive above-average rainfall include Baringo, Bomet, Bungoma, Busia, Elgeyo Marakwet, Embu, Garissa, Homa Bay, Isiolo, Kajiado, Kakamega, Kericho, Kiambu, Kilifi, Kirinyaga, Kisii, Kisumu, Kitui, Kwale, Laikipia, Lamu, Machakos, Makueni, Mandera, Meru, Migori, Mombasa, Murang’a, Nairobi, Nakuru, Nandi, Narok, Nyamira, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Siaya, Taita Taveta, Tana River, Tharaka-Nithi, Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, and Vihiga. Residents in these counties are advised to prepare for the expected heavy rainfall.
In addition to the above-average rainfall, parts of Turkana, Samburu, Marsabit, Baringo, and West Pokot counties are expected to receive near-average to above-average rainfall during the month. This is a welcome relief for residents in these areas, who have been experiencing drought and water scarcity. The rainfall is expected to improve the livelihoods of pastoralists and farmers in these regions.
The temperature outlook for November 2026 indicates that mean temperatures across the entire country are expected to be warmer than average. This could lead to increased evaporation of water from lakes and reservoirs, potentially affecting water availability in some areas. Residents are advised to take precautions to conserve water and reduce the risk of heat-related illnesses.
The above-average rainfall is expected to have a positive impact on agriculture, food security, and water availability in the country. Farmers are advised to take advantage of the expected rainfall to plant crops and improve their yields. The government and humanitarian organizations are also expected to take proactive measures to mitigate the effects of flooding and landslides, which can occur during heavy rainfall events.
The climate outlook for November 2026 is based on various climate indicators, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). These indicators suggest that Kenya is likely to experience above-average rainfall during the month. The Kenya Meteorological Department will continue to monitor the climate situation and provide updates to the public.
The expected above-average rainfall in November 2026 is a welcome relief for Kenya, which has been affected by drought and climate-related shocks in recent years. The government and humanitarian organizations are working together to improve the resilience of communities to climate-related shocks and to promote sustainable agriculture and water management practices.
Key points
- Above-average rainfall is expected in most counties in Kenya in November 2026.
- The rainfall is expected to improve food security and water availability in the country.
- Residents in some counties are advised to prepare for near-average to above-average rainfall.
