The Kenya Meteorological Department has released its 24-hour weather forecast covering the period from 9pm on Sunday, October 4, to 9pm on Monday, October 5. The forecast projects largely settled conditions across much of the country, with notable exceptions in the far north. Light to moderate rainfall is expected in Kisumu, Siaya, Kwale, Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Taita Taveta, Garissa, Mandera, Wajir, and Marsabit counties.
The Kenya Meteorological Department warned of strong southerly to southeasterly winds of above 25 knots (12.5m/s) expected over parts of Turkana, Samburu, and Marsabit Counties. The department also predicted moderate showers and thunderstorms in northern counties Wajir and Mandera, with temperatures reaching highs of 34°C and 33°C respectively.
Marsabit was forecast to receive light showers and thunderstorms over a few places, with temperatures peaking at 26°C. Isiolo recorded a projected high of 33°C, while Meru, Tharaka-Nithi, and Embu were each expected to reach 27°C and 28°C respectively. Kitui and Makueni in the eastern region were forecast for highs of 31°C and 32°C, with largely partly cloudy skies throughout the day.
Nairobi was forecast to experience partly cloudy morning conditions, shifting to a mix of cloud and sunny intervals in the afternoon before clearing to sunny intervals in the evening. The capital's maximum temperature was projected at 27°C, with a minimum of 16°C overnight. Nakuru, Narok, and Kajiado were each expected to hit a maximum of 28°C, while Kericho was the coolest of the Rift Valley counties at 26°C.
Counties bordering Lake Victoria faced a slightly higher chance of rainfall during the forecast period. Kisumu was expected to see light showers in the morning, with chances of light rain continuing into the afternoon. Siaya and Bungoma were similarly flagged for possible light rains in the afternoon hours. Kakamega and Migori posted the highest temperature projections in the western and Nyanza zones, at 31°C and 32°C respectively.
Governor Sakaja Johnson of Nairobi county reached a formal coordination agreement with the Kenya Alliance of Residents Associations (KARA) to deepen community-level El Niño preparedness ahead of the October–December rainy season. The two parties held talks at City Hall on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, with KARA's Governing Council in attendance, led by CEO Henry Ochieng.
The meeting centred on embedding residents' associations more firmly within the county's existing multi-agency flood response structure. Under the arrangement, the Nairobi City County Government will share a map of 227 identified flood hotspots across the city with KARA coordinators, along with associated risk data. This aims to enhance preparedness and response to potential flooding in the city.
Key points
- 11 counties, including Kilifi, are expected to experience rainfall.
- Strong southerly to southeasterly winds are expected over parts of Turkana, Samburu, and Marsabit Counties.
- Nairobi county has reached an agreement with KARA to enhance El Niño preparedness.
