A recent opinion poll conducted by Swiss Poll International has placed Kennedy Murimi Waweru at the front of the race for the Mwea Constituency parliamentary seat. The survey, which sampled 2,534 residents across the constituency, suggests a highly competitive field heading into the 2027 General Election. The poll carried a margin of error of ±3% and was conducted at a 95% confidence level. Waweru captured 32.8% of respondent support, translating to 830 votes in the sample.
The poll results show that Hon. Kabinga Wathayu finished second at 21.7%, while Susan Wangechi Warui followed closely in third place at 20.2%. The gap between Wathayu and Warui is just 1.5 percentage points, indicating a tightly contested field. Hon. Mary Maingi placed fourth with 13.8% of the vote, trailed by Hon. Alfred Nderitu at 6.8% and Hon. Peter Gitau at 2.3%. A further 2.6% of respondents indicated they had not yet settled on a candidate.
The poll figures underscore how closely contested the Mwea seat could become before voting day. The combined support for Wathayu and Warui stands at 41.9%, which significantly exceeds Waweru's lead. This suggests that shifts in voter alignment in the months ahead could reshape the standings considerably. With more than one in five respondents still either undecided or backing candidates polling in single digits, the race remains open.
Swiss Poll International noted that the findings point to a competitive political landscape in Mwea Constituency as residents look towards the 2027 General Election. The survey results highlight the dynamic nature of the parliamentary race, with several candidates still in contention. The poll's margin of error and confidence level indicate a high degree of accuracy in the findings.
The Mwea 2027 MP race is one of several highly contested parliamentary seats in Kenya. In the Embakasi West constituency, incumbent Mark Mwenje leads challenger Kennedy Odhiambo, according to a separate poll. The survey puts Mwenje 13.8 percentage points ahead, but Odhiambo's 39.7% support signals a competitive contest.
The polls highlight the importance of grassroots campaigning and party shifts in the lead-up to the 2027 General Election. Candidates who can mobilize support and build strong coalitions may gain an advantage in the highly competitive parliamentary races. The surveys also underscore the need for voters to make informed decisions about their representatives.
Harry Ivan Mboto, a Current Affairs and Politics Editor at TUKO.co.ke, reported on the poll results. Mboto has five years of experience in digital journalism and is an accredited journalist with the Media Council of Kenya. His reporting provides valuable insights into the Kenyan political landscape, highlighting key trends and developments in the lead-up to the 2027 General Election.
Key points
- Kennedy Murimi Waweru leads the Mwea 2027 MP race with 32.8% support.
- The poll results indicate a highly competitive field, with several candidates still in contention.
- The surveys highlight the importance of grassroots campaigning and party shifts in the lead-up to the 2027 General Election.
