A heated debate is unfolding in Egypt's tomato market, with conflicting predictions about future prices. Hussein Abu Sadam, the head of the Egyptian Farmers' Union, and Hatim El-Najib, deputy head of the Vegetables and Fruits Division at the Cairo Chamber of Commerce, are at odds over the potential impact of climate change and the spread of the "tuta absoluta" pest on tomato production. Abu Sadam warns of possible price hikes, while El-Najib expects the market to remain stable.
Abu Sadam notes that tomato prices are currently relatively low, ranging from 20 to 25 pounds per kilogram for consumers, and 15 to 20 pounds per kilogram for high-quality wholesale tomatoes. However, he predicts that prices may rise due to decreased production in some areas affected by climate change and the spread of "tuta absoluta". The pest, also known as the tomato borer, can cause significant damage to tomato crops.
El-Najib, on the other hand, disputes Abu Sadam's predictions, arguing that the market is stable and that prices are unlikely to surge to 45 or 50 pounds per kilogram. He cites the diversity of production areas and the upcoming harvest in new regions, which he believes will maintain a steady supply of tomatoes. El-Najib also highlights the role of modern agriculture and government initiatives to increase production and stabilize prices.
The Egyptian government has been working to boost production and stabilize prices through various initiatives, including the "Kulna Wahid" and "Khair Mazarina" programs. These efforts aim to increase the availability of fruits and vegetables, including tomatoes, and maintain stable prices. Additionally, the government has been working to improve agricultural practices and reduce the impact of climate change on crop production.
In a survey conducted by Veto, traders in Cairo's markets expressed skepticism about predictions of a significant price hike. They argue that prices are determined by supply and demand and that panic buying triggered by predictions of price increases could lead to an artificial shortage and higher prices. Traders also pointed out that tomato production is not limited to a single region and that other areas will help maintain a steady supply.
The Egyptian Ministry of Agriculture has also weighed in on the issue, stating that reports of 70% of tomatoes being infected with "tuta absoluta" are exaggerated and not based on scientific evidence. The ministry emphasizes that the situation is being closely monitored and that measures are being taken to mitigate any potential impact on production.
As of Saturday, tomato prices in Cairo's markets range from 6 to 11 pounds per kilogram in the Obour market, with a noticeable decrease in prices over the past week. The prices of tomato crates vary depending on quality, with high-quality crates selling for 220-250 pounds and lower-quality crates starting at 150 pounds.
Key points
- Dispute over future tomato prices in Egypt
- Predictions of price hikes due to climate change and pest spread
- Government initiatives to stabilize prices and boost production
