The Kenya Meteorological Department has released its latest five-day forecast, indicating that residents across Nairobi, Central Kenya, the Coastal strip, and parts of the Eastern region should prepare for rainy spells over the coming days. The forecast, valid from October 1, 2026, to October 5, 2026, notes that light to moderate rainfall is expected in several counties. This development comes as the month begins with warm, sunny conditions across most parts of the country.
In Nairobi and surrounding central counties, including Kiambu, Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, and Nyandarua, the day will start with bright sunny intervals on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Maximum temperatures in the capital will reach 28°C on Thursday and Friday before dropping to 24°C by Monday, October 5, 2026. Additionally, nighttime conditions in Nyandarua will feel cold, dropping to a minimum of 5°C on Thursday night.
Rainfall patterns are expected to pick up across the central region from Saturday, October 3, 2026. Afternoon and evening moderate showers are expected in Nairobi, Kiambu, and Murang’a, while Nyeri and Murang’a will experience moderate morning rains on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Residents in these areas are advised to take necessary precautions to mitigate the impact of the impending rains.
Along the Coast, Mombasa, Kwale, and Kilifi will enjoy sunny weather through Friday, October 2, 2026, before light showers arrive on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Specifically, Kwale will see moderate morning showers on Sunday, October 4, 2026. The Kenya Meteorological Department has urged residents to be vigilant and monitor local weather changes.
In Western Kenya and the Lake Victoria Basin, counties including Kisumu, Kakamega, Vihiga, and Busia will generally experience sunny mornings followed by light afternoon showers from Saturday through Monday. Similarly, in Eastern region counties like Kitui, Machakos, and Makueni, light morning rains and afternoon showers will begin on Saturday, October 3, 2026.
Meru and Embu will record moderate night showers across the weekend, while Marsabit anticipates moderate morning rains on Monday, October 5, 2026. On the other hand, Turkana remains hot and dry, with maximum temperatures reaching 38°C on Sunday, October 4, 2026, and Monday, October 5, 2026. The weather agency has reminded Kenyans to keep track of local changes over the five days.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has emphasized that its forecast should be used in conjunction with the daily (24-hour) forecast issued by the department. Specific county updates remain available through local meteorological officers nationwide. By staying informed, residents can take necessary precautions to ensure their safety and that of their property.
Key points
- Light to moderate rainfall expected in Central Kenya, Coast, and Nairobi from October 1-5, 2026.
- Rainfall patterns to intensify from Saturday, October 3, 2026, in central region.
- Residents advised to monitor local weather changes and follow daily forecasts.
