Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar has made a significant move in the 2027 presidential election by pledging to restore subsidy on petrol in Nigeria. This declaration has sent shockwaves across the polity, providing a clear-cut alternative to President Tinubu's policies. Atiku's decision has redefined the election, with many Nigerians rallying behind his promise to address the country's energy security concerns. The pledge has also sparked a realignment of people-powered political forces around pro and anti-subsidy.

Atiku's policy plan and neo-liberal economic orientation were previously seen as similar to President Tinubu's, which made it challenging for him to gain traction. However, his sudden shift in stance has provided a much-needed alternative to the opposition. Atiku's Road to Damascus moment has seen him find the courage to challenge President Tinubu's most consequential policy, which has plunged Nigerians into an unprecedented level of cost of existence. This move has earned him a surge in popularity and public perception.

The opposition in Nigeria had struggled to come up with an alternative to President Tinubu's twin policy of removal of subsidy on petrol and floatation of the naira. Atiku and Peter Obi of the Labour Party had committed to the same policy, which made it difficult for them to criticize the government. However, Atiku's pledge to restore subsidy has provided a clear distinction between him and other candidates. This move has also united northerners and southerners against their common enemy of energy insecurity.

Atiku's decision has significant implications for the 2027 presidential election. His candidacy has gained more momentum and acceptance across the country, making President Tinubu and the ruling APC rattled for the first time since 2023. Atiku is now having an organic support base with a strong reason to flood polling units on election day. His pledge to restore subsidy has also resonated with the EndHunger protest movement that rocked most parts of northern Nigeria and Lagos.

President Tinubu had previously challenged the opposition to come up with an alternative to his policies, confident that there was no urgent need to replace him. However, Atiku's pledge has changed the narrative, providing a clear alternative to the government's policies. The Presidency and the ruling APC have been trying to shoot down Atiku's proposal, but it appears to have gained significant traction.

Atiku's hat-trick against President Tinubu includes providing a much-needed alternative, redefining the election, and surging in popularity. His decision to restore subsidy has united Nigerians across ethnic, religious, and regional divides. The issue of zoning arrangements, which was previously seen as a challenge for Atiku, has taken a back seat in the consideration of many Nigerians.

The 2027 presidential election is expected to be a closely contested one, with Atiku's pledge to restore subsidy having changed the dynamics. President Tinubu and the ruling APC will need to reassess their strategy in light of Atiku's newfound momentum. The election will ultimately depend on the will of Nigerians, who will have to decide between the different policy proposals.

Key points

  • Atiku Abubakar's pledge to restore petrol subsidy has provided a clear alternative to President Tinubu's policies.
  • Atiku's decision has united Nigerians across ethnic, religious, and regional divides.
  • The 2027 presidential election is expected to be a closely contested one, with Atiku's pledge having changed the dynamics.

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SaharaWire Newsroom
SaharaWire

Reporting for SaharaWire from the Nairobi bureau.