The National Meteorological Institute of Tunisia has released a bulletin indicating that the country's climate prospects for the November-December-January 2026-2027 season are expected to be marked by higher-than-average temperatures and below-average rainfall, particularly in the north and central regions. This season typically marks the gradual transition to winter, characterized by a drop in temperatures and significant rainfall, especially in the north and central areas.
According to the reference climate data for the period 1991-2020, seasonal temperatures in the north and central regions usually range between 8 and 15 degrees Celsius, while in the southern regions, they range between 12 and 16 degrees Celsius. The Tala region typically records the lowest seasonal temperatures. In terms of rainfall, the north and coastal areas usually receive between 116 and 475 millimeters during the season, while the central-western region receives between 56 and 106 millimeters, and the south receives between 29 and 89 millimeters.
The city of Tabarka usually records the highest total rainfall during the season. For November, average temperatures typically range between 11 and 18 degrees Celsius in the north and central regions, and between 15 and 19 degrees Celsius in the south. Rainfall is usually more abundant in the north, ranging from 39 to 96 millimeters, and reaching 160 millimeters in Tabarka, compared to 21 to 41 millimeters in the central region, and generally less than 34 millimeters in the south.
In December, average temperatures usually range between 7 and 14 degrees Celsius in the north and central regions, and between 11 and 15 degrees Celsius in the south. Monthly rainfall is usually more abundant in the far north, exceeding 100 millimeters, and reaching 161 millimeters in Tabarka. In the central region, rainfall ranges from 14 to 47 millimeters, while in the south, it generally does not exceed 32 millimeters.
During January, average temperatures usually range between 6 and 13 degrees Celsius. Monthly rainfall is more abundant in the north, ranging from 51 to 148 millimeters, compared to 19 to 38 millimeters in the central region, and generally not exceeding 24 millimeters in the south. These climate conditions are expected to deviate from the norm, with higher temperatures and lower rainfall than usual.
The National Meteorological Institute's bulletin highlights the expected deviation from the country's usual climate patterns. Tunisians can expect a warmer and drier-than-usual November-December-January season, which may have implications for agriculture, water resources, and daily life.
Key points
- Tunisia is expected to experience higher-than-average temperatures during the November-December-January season.
- The country is also expected to receive below-average rainfall, particularly in the north and central regions.
- The climate conditions are expected to deviate from the norm, with potential implications for agriculture, water resources, and daily life.
