Sifuna Gains Popularity Among DCP Supporters in Kenya

A recent TIFA Research study has found that Senator Edwin Sifuna of Nairobi is gaining popularity among supporters of the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), led by former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua. The study shows that 34% of DCP supporters want Sifuna to be the next president of Kenya, while 25% prefer Gachagua. This 9% difference raises questions about the relationship between a party leader's popularity and their supporters' expectations for a presidential candidate.

The study, which surveyed 174 self-identified DCP supporters, also found that Sifuna is gaining support outside of his own party, Linda Mwananchi Movement. Among ODM supporters, 33% prefer Sifuna, compared to 42% who support President William Ruto. Meanwhile, 85% of UDA supporters prefer Ruto, and 90% of Linda Mwananchi supporters prefer Sifuna.

The findings suggest that while party loyalty remains a factor in presidential preferences, some supporters are open to considering leaders from other parties. For Sifuna, the results add to the debate about his ability to attract supporters beyond his base. For Gachagua, the study raises questions about whether his position as DCP leader translates to being the first choice of his supporters in the presidential contest.

Despite the study's findings, Gachagua remains a significant figure in Mount Kenya politics. The research shows that among Kikuyu Kenyans who believe their community has a leader who guides them on political and social issues, 69% named Gachagua. This highlights the difference between being recognized as a community leader and being the preferred presidential candidate.

Gachagua has emphasized that Mount Kenya will not provide votes to any candidate without discussions about the region's interests. Speaking at a cultural event in Thika on November 7, he recalled how the region supported Ruto in the 2022 election without thorough consultation. Gachagua stressed the need for dialogue and consideration of regional interests before making political decisions.

The study's release coincides with increased communication between Sifuna and Gachagua. On October 20, Gachagua hosted Sifuna and Linda Mwananchi leaders at his home in Wamunyoro, Nyeri County. The meeting was attended by leaders from various regions, including Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya and Vihiga Senator Godfrey Osotsi.

The interactions between Sifuna and Gachagua suggest ongoing discussions about opposition unity, but it remains unclear who will be the presidential candidate and who will be the running mate. The study also found that 43% of opposition supporters surveyed believe Gachagua contributes most to tensions among opposition leaders, while 15% blame President Ruto or the UDA government, and 7% blame Sifuna.

Key points

• Sifuna gains popularity among DCP supporters.
• Gachagua remains significant in Mount Kenya politics.
• Opposition unity discussions continue.