The OPEC+ alliance has, in principle, agreed to keep its oil production targets unchanged for December, according to sources familiar with the matter. The decision was made ahead of a virtual meeting scheduled for Sunday, which will be attended by seven key members, including Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, and Oman. This move aligns with expectations that no adjustments will be made to the production policy before next year.

The meeting comes as some OPEC+ members, particularly those in the Gulf region, have increased their oil exports. Despite this, most of these countries are still producing below their designated quotas. The alliance, which comprises OPEC member states and non-OPEC countries like Russia, had previously agreed to gradually phase out 1.65 million barrels per day in supply cuts that were initially implemented in 2023.

In September, OPEC+ completed the gradual elimination of these supply cuts. However, the ongoing conflict with Iran has disrupted production levels in some Gulf countries. According to Reuters, the alliance is unlikely to make changes to production targets for the fourth quarter of this year, instead focusing on negotiations regarding production quotas for 2027.

OPEC+ still plans to implement an additional production cut of 2 million barrels per day, which will be in effect until the end of 2026. The alliance is also set to review the production capacities of its member countries during the fourth quarter, which will serve as the basis for determining 2027 production levels and future quotas.

The review of production capacities is a crucial step in setting future production targets. This process will help OPEC+ determine the baseline for each country's production levels, which will be used to establish quotas and plan for the gradual phase-out of remaining production cuts.

The OPEC+ meeting will be held virtually, with key members participating. Algeria, as one of the participating countries, is expected to play a role in the discussions. The country's energy sector is a significant contributor to its economy, and any decisions made by OPEC+ will have implications for Algeria's oil production and export levels.

The decision to maintain current production targets is seen as a move to stabilize the global oil market. OPEC+ has been working to balance supply and demand, and this decision is expected to have a positive impact on the market. The alliance will continue to monitor the situation and make adjustments as necessary to ensure a stable and sustainable oil market.

Key points

  • OPEC+ agrees to keep oil production targets unchanged for December.
  • The alliance will review production capacities of member countries to determine 2027 production levels.
  • OPEC+ plans to implement an additional production cut of 2 million barrels per day until the end of 2026.

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SaharaWire

Reporting for SaharaWire from the Nairobi bureau.