Three political scientists from Ghanaian universities have weighed in on the New Patriotic Party's (NPP) prospects of returning to power in 2028. Emeritus Professor Atsu Ayee, Gilbert A. Aidoo, and Dr Gbensuglo Alidu Bukari, in separate interviews with the Daily Graphic, emphasized that the party's chances depend on more than its newly elected national executive. They warned that the NPP must address the legacy of its 2024 defeat and rebuild voter confidence.
The NPP's new national executive, elected to steer the party's affairs in opposition, includes John Boadu as National Chairman and Justin Kodua Frimpong as General Secretary. Mr. Boadu brings extensive organisational experience to the position, having served as the party's General Secretary and played key roles in its 2016 and 2020 campaigns. His experience is seen as a foundation for rebuilding, particularly in understanding the party's structures and electoral operations.
According to Mr. Aidoo, Mr. Boadu's relatively youthful profile could help the party begin a generational shift and improve its appeal to Generation Z, first-time, and floating voters. Dr. Bukari noted that Mr. Boadu's over three decades of grassroots and national party experience is a major strength, particularly for mobilising the party base. However, Dr. Bukari also cautioned that the internal contest that produced the new chairman exposed potential fractures that could affect the party's preparations for 2028.
The analysts agree that the NPP faces significant challenges, including the legacy of its eight-year administration. Prof. Ayee cited allegations of impunity, arrogance, mismanagement, and corruption, as well as concerns over economic management, as issues that remain fresh in the minds of voters. He warned that the party would find it difficult to erase that record during its four years in opposition.
To mount an effective challenge to the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC) in 2028, the NPP must unite its rank and file, develop a compelling message, and reconnect with young and floating voters. The analysts believe that the new executives have an important task ahead, but their success will ultimately depend on whether the party can turn organisational renewal into unity, voter confidence, and a credible alternative.
Mr. Aidoo suggested that the NPP must present a credible alternative to the NDC and take advantage of any shortcomings in the government's performance. He also identified the association of Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the party's flag bearer, with the previous Akufo-Addo administration as a potential challenge to the party's attempt to project a fresh economic message.
Ultimately, the analysts agree that the NPP's 2028 prospects depend on its ability to overcome its past challenges and present a compelling message to voters. The performance of the NDC government will also shape the political environment, and a major scandal or poor performance could create an opening for the NPP.
Key points
- The NPP's new national executive must unite the party and develop a compelling message to reconnect with young and floating voters.
