A recent poll conducted by Bobea Research & Insights has revealed that Mary Emase, the incumbent MP for Teso South, is leading in voter preferences with 71.8%. The poll, which surveyed 375 respondents across Teso South Constituency, shows that Emase has a significant lead over her closest challenger, Peter Imwatok Jateso, who garnered 17% of the votes. The findings were released on October 6, 2026, and reflect voter preferences at the time of data collection.

The poll results indicate that Emase has a 54.8 percentage-point lead over Jateso, with 11.2% of respondents remaining undecided. Emase is serving her second term as Teso South MP on a United Democratic Alliance (UDA) ticket. She first won the constituency in 2013 on a United Republican Party ticket but lost the seat in the 2017 election to Geoffrey Omuse of the Orange Democratic Movement. She returned to Parliament in 2022 after defeating Omuse and former Busia Governor Sospeter Ojaamong.

According to the poll, respondents who backed Emase cited her development record, leadership style, and accessibility to constituents as the main reasons for their preference. The report notes that the data shows a high approval rating anchored on tangible development and close connection with the electorate. This suggests that Emase's efforts to engage with her constituents and deliver development projects have contributed to her popularity.

The Bobea Research & Insights poll used random sampling to survey respondents across Teso South Constituency. The findings reflect voter preferences at the time of data collection and should not be treated as a prediction of the election result. The poll was conducted ahead of the 2027 General Election, with candidates seeking to consolidate support among voters.

Emase won the 2022 election with 18,051 votes, according to election results reported at the time. Her victory marked a comeback to Parliament after a five-year absence. The poll results suggest that she may be well-positioned to retain her seat in the upcoming election. However, the 11.2% of undecided voters leave room for other candidates to persuade them.

The Standard Group Plc, which published the poll results, is a leading multi-media house in Kenya with investments in various media platforms. The company has a significant influence on national and international issues, with a presence in newspaper print operations, television, radio broadcasting, digital, and online services.

The poll results have been released amid increasing political activity in Teso South ahead of the 2027 General Election. Candidates are seeking to consolidate support among voters, and the poll provides insight into the current voter preferences in the constituency.

Key points

  • Mary Emase leads in voter preferences with 71.8% in the Teso South constituency.
  • Emase has a 54.8 percentage-point lead over her closest challenger, Peter Imwatok Jateso.
  • The poll surveyed 375 respondents across Teso South Constituency using random sampling.

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SaharaWire Newsroom
SaharaWire

Reporting for SaharaWire from the Nairobi bureau.