A recent opinion poll conducted by Swiss Poll International has positioned Mohamed Aden, popularly known as The Don, as the frontrunner in the Thika Constituency parliamentary race ahead of the 2027 General Election. The survey sampled 4,441 voters across the constituency and was conducted at a 95% confidence level with a margin of error of ±3%. According to the poll, Mohamed Aden garnered 30.7% of the vote, making him the preferred candidate among respondents.
Hon. Wainaina Njungle came in second with 26.3%, translating to 1,167 votes in the poll, while Mohamed Aden's tally stood at 1,365 votes, giving him a 4.4-percentage-point advantage over his closest challenger. The relatively close contest between the top two candidates and the margin of error mean the standings remain subject to change as the 2027 election campaign develops.
The poll also revealed that EALA lawmaker Maina Karobia occupies third place with 15.8% of the vote, equivalent to 702 respondents expressing a preference for him. David Gakuyo follows in fourth at 7.6% (337 votes), and Nicholas Nderiru rounds out the top five with 6.4%, or 286 votes.
Ephrahim Wanaina recorded 3.6%, accounting for 158 votes, while the remaining 9.6%, representing 426 respondents, fell under the "others" category. Combined, the top five named candidates account for over 86% of all responses, suggesting a field that is beginning to consolidate around a handful of prominent contenders rather than remaining widely fragmented.
The survey also provides insights into the competitiveness of the Thika Constituency race. With a relatively close contest between the top two candidates, the margin of error, and a significant number of respondents still to make up their minds, the standings remain subject to change as the 2027 election campaign develops.
In a related development, a new opinion poll by Mizani Africa placed incumbent Betty Maina at the front of the race for the Murang'a county woman representative seat, though a large bloc of undecided voters means the contest remains far from settled. The survey, released on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, asked respondents who they would vote for as the next women's representative for Murang'a County if elections were held today.
Betty Maina topped the results with 32.6%, giving her a lead over the rest of the field but one that falls well short of a commanding majority. Veronica Maina followed in second position with 18.4%, while Catherine Wanjiku, popularly known as Mama Sacco, secured third place at 11.1%.
Key points
- Mohamed Aden leads the Thika parliamentary race with 30.7% of the vote.
- The top five named candidates account for over 86% of all responses.
- The standings in the Thika Constituency race remain subject to change as the 2027 election campaign develops.
