The global tourism industry has shown resilience, generating $11.6 trillion in 2025, accounting for 9.8% of the world's GDP. According to the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC), this growth is expected to continue, with the industry's economic contribution projected to reach $17.1 trillion by 2036, a 47% increase from 2025. However, this growth is not evenly distributed, with several African destinations struggling with insufficient air connectivity.

The tourism industry is facing various challenges, including geopolitical tensions, overtourism, and rising costs. Some European cities are experiencing an excessive concentration of visitors, with Dubrovnik having 36 tourists per inhabitant and Venice having 21. The seasonality of tourism also exacerbates these imbalances, with 86% of travelers planning trips between June and September. Additionally, factors such as inflation, insecurity, and rising jet fuel prices are influencing tourist choices.

Travelers are adjusting their budgets, prioritizing nearby destinations, and seeking experiences that match their interests. The use of artificial intelligence is also transforming the tourism industry, with 69% of Gen Z travelers using it to prepare or accompany their trips. This shift in traveler behavior is having a significant impact on the industry, with many businesses adapting to meet the changing needs of tourists.

The WTTC's Maribel Rodríguez highlighted the economic disparities between European countries, with France standing out for its tourism surplus. In 2025, foreign visitors spent $81.3 billion in France, while the French spent $61.9 billion abroad, resulting in a surplus of $19.4 billion. In contrast, Germany and the UK recorded tourism deficits of $74 billion and $72 billion, respectively.

These disparities reflect different international spending structures, with France's domestic tourism contributing significantly to its national economy. However, this is not directly reflected in the country's tourism balance. The challenge now is to convert the global growth of tourism into sustainable and more evenly distributed economic benefits.

The tourism industry's growth is also having a significant impact on local communities, with many destinations struggling to cope with the influx of visitors. According to a 2023 study, the concentration of tourists in certain areas is putting pressure on local infrastructure and resources. As the industry continues to grow, it is essential to find ways to mitigate these negative impacts and ensure that the benefits of tourism are shared more widely.

As the tourism industry looks to the future, it is clear that sustainability and responsible tourism practices will be key to ensuring the long-term viability of the sector. With the industry projected to continue growing, it is essential to prioritize the needs of local communities and to find ways to distribute the economic benefits of tourism more evenly. By doing so, the industry can ensure that its growth is sustainable and beneficial to all stakeholders involved.

Key points

  • The global tourism industry is projected to reach $17.1 trillion by 2036, a 47% increase from 2025.
  • France recorded a tourism surplus of $19.4 billion in 2025, while Germany and the UK had deficits of $74 billion and $72 billion, respectively.
  • 86% of travelers plan their trips between June and September, exacerbating seasonality imbalances in the tourism industry.

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SaharaWire Newsroom
SaharaWire

Reporting for SaharaWire from the Nairobi bureau.