A recent poll by Global InfoAnalytics has projected that Ghana's ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC) could lose 29 parliamentary seats in the 2028 general election. Despite this, the party's Deputy Director of Elections and IT, Rashid Tanko Computer, remains optimistic, stating that the party will win 154 parliamentary seats in the 2028 general election. This contrasts with the concerns expressed by some party members and supporters.
The poll results come less than two years into the NDC's time in office, with many Ghanaians expressing dissatisfaction with the government's performance. The party's challenges are compounded by rising inflation and economic concerns, which could impact the popularity of even the party's strongest favourites, such as Ato Forson. The NDC must address these concerns to avoid a significant decline in support.
One of the key issues facing the NDC is the perception that the party is not taking decisive action on certain issues, such as the galamsey crisis. The Ghana Catholic Bishops' Conference has expressed "deep disappointment" with the government's handling of the crisis, with President Most Rev. Matthew Kwasi Gyamfi urging citizens to vote against the present government. This criticism could further erode support for the NDC.
The NDC's communication strategy has also been questioned, particularly after Sammy Gyamfi, GoldBod CEO, suggested that informal miners operating outside protected areas could be allowed to operate while the government formalises and regularises their activities. This statement was seen as contradictory to the Minerals and Mining Act, 2006 (Act 703), which requires a licence before any small-scale mining begins.
The opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP) has also been criticised for its handling of labour negotiations. NPP MPs have slammed the government's offer of a 9% increase in public sector base pay for 2027 and a 10% increase for 2028, describing it as a "historic backstab". The NPP's actions have been seen as an attempt to incite workers against their labour union leaders.
The writer of the article, Enimil Ashon, has expressed concern that the NPP's actions could have far-reaching consequences for Ghana's democracy. Ashon, who is also the Executive Director of the Centre for Communication and Culture, believes that politicians' desperation to win elections could ultimately harm the country.
The 2028 general election is expected to be a significant test for the NDC and other parties. The party's ability to address the concerns of Ghanaians, including economic challenges and governance issues, will be crucial in determining its success. The polls indicate that the NDC faces significant challenges, but the party's ultimate performance will depend on various factors, including its response to these challenges.
Key points
- The NDC could lose 29 parliamentary seats in the 2028 general election according to a recent poll by Global InfoAnalytics.
