Egyptian politician Mahmoud Abaza has warned that the world is experiencing a period of significant transformation, with global power dynamics undergoing substantial changes. According to Abaza, the existence of nuclear deterrence has prevented the outbreak of a comprehensive global war. He noted that increased international pressures are being reflected in regional wars in various parts of the world.
Abaza, former head of the Wafd Party, made these comments during an interview with journalist Neshad Al-Dehi on the "Balwara Wal Qalam" program broadcast on the Ten channel. He emphasized that Egypt's strategic location has historically made it a pivotal element in the calculations of empires and major powers. Abaza pointed out that the country's position has been viewed as a strategic target, a source of threat, or a key component of their overall strategies.
The 1956 war, which was fought over control of the Suez Canal, marked a significant turning point in the international system, Abaza said. This conflict contributed to the decline of British and French influence and solidified a new world order based on two main poles. He also highlighted the economic repercussions of the Suez Canal's closure, which led to a crisis in oil supplies to Europe.
Abaza also referenced the 1973 October War, which had far-reaching consequences for the region and the world. One of the significant economic outcomes of this war was the rise in oil prices, which had a profound impact on energy markets and international relations at the time. These events have shaped the complex landscape of global politics and economies.
The collapse of the Soviet Union led to a fundamental transformation of the international system, which had been based on the balance between the Warsaw Pact and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Abaza noted that NATO faced numerous challenges and crises, particularly with the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and developments in the Middle East.
Abaza stressed that competition for control of strategic waterways and freedom of navigation is likely to lead to further international crises. He cited tensions related to the South China Sea and Taiwan as examples of the expanding disturbances in the global system. These developments underscore the complexities and challenges of the current international landscape.
The shifts in global power dynamics and the emergence of new challenges require a re-evaluation of international relations and strategies. Abaza's comments highlight the need for a deeper understanding of the complex factors shaping the world today. As the global community navigates these changes, it must address the pressing issues of war, economic instability, and the pursuit of peace and cooperation.
Key points
- World experiencing significant power shifts, leading to regional wars
- Egypt's strategic location has historically made it a pivotal element in global calculations
- Increased international pressures are being reflected in regional conflicts
