The 2027 governorship election in Nasarawa State is shaping up to be a highly contested battle, with former Inspector General of Police (IGP) Muhammed Abubakar Adamu emerging as a top contender. Adamu, who recently defected from the All Progressives Congress (APC) to the Social Democratic Party (SDP), is now the SDP's candidate in the election. His candidacy has generated significant interest among the populace, with many viewing him as a potential disruptor in the state's politics. Adamu's campaign slogan, "IG Gonna," has become a household name across the state.

Adamu's entry into the race has been seen as a challenge to the APC's 16-year reign in the state. The APC's candidate, Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada, is currently the frontrunner, having secured the backing of incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule. Governor Sule, who took office in 2019, has built a reputation for delivering on his promises, making it difficult for opponents to campaign against him. However, Adamu's supporters believe that his experience as a former IGP and his grassroots organizing skills make him a strong contender.

The election is expected to be a closely contested battle, with several other candidates vying for the top spot. These include David Umbumgadu, a former member of the House of Representatives, flying the PDP flag; Jonathan Gaza, a three-time member of the House of Representatives, vying on the platform of the Labour Party (LP); and General Nuhu Angbazo (rtd) as the candidate of the African Democratic Congress (ADC). Interestingly, the candidates of the PDP, ADC, and LP are all Christians, while those of the APC and SDP are Muslims.

Adamu's campaign has gained significant traction, with his wife, Hajiya Rukayya Adamu, playing a key role in mobilizing support. She has embarked on a grassroots campaign, visiting communities and meeting with voters to understand their concerns and pain points. Her efforts have been seen as a game-changer in the state's politics, with many voters rallying behind Adamu's candidacy. The Adamu campaign has also organized several rallies and empowerment programs, distributing food items, cash, and farm implements to vulnerable groups and farmers.

Despite the APC's incumbency advantage, history suggests that the party should not take the election for granted. In 2011, a relatively unknown party, the CPC, wrested power from a sitting PDP government, led by the late Aliyu Akwe Doma. Some of the political actors associated with that upset are now working with the Adamu campaign, a development that the APC would do well to study.

The zoning arrangement, which rotates the governorship across the state's three senatorial districts, is also expected to play a significant role in the election. Governor Sule has consistently defended the arrangement, which guarantees that smaller zones like Nasarawa North get their turn. The APC would need to organize and mobilize its supporters effectively to ensure that Wadada's candidacy is successful.

The 2027 governorship election in Nasarawa State promises to be a highly contested and closely watched battle. With Adamu's emergence as a top contender, the election is expected to be a straight fight between him and Senator Wadada. The outcome of the election will depend on various factors, including the candidates' ability to mobilize support, their campaign strategies, and the voters' perceptions of their leadership capabilities.

Key points

  • * Former IGP Muhammed Abubakar Adamu joins 2027 Nasarawa governorship race as SDP candidate * Adamu's candidacy challenges APC's 16-year reign in the state * Election is expected to be a closely contested battle between Adamu and Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada

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SaharaWire

Reporting for SaharaWire from the Nairobi bureau.